IPL 2022: Who will join KKR Knockout, GT in the final four? – Possibilities of all playoffs in 6 points | Cricket News

There are only four matches left in the league stage IPL 2022Now 16 possible combinations of results are left.
TOI looked at each of these possibilities to calculate the chances of individual teams reaching the playoffs. As the situation arises, one team is guaranteed to be at the top of the group stage, the other team is guaranteed to finish second or joint second and three teams are definitely out of the playoff race, five teams will fight for the remaining two slots.
Here is how the teams stood by Thursday morning:
1) MI, CSK and KKR are out of the playoff race, with GT guaranteed first place
2) SRH and PBKS have a 12.5% ​​chance of being in the top four. If RCB loses their last match against GT and loses to DC MI, both can do so by winning their last game against each other. If that happens, the winner of the SRH-PBKS game will end up with 14 points and will be joint fourth with DC and RCB.
3) DC’s chances of getting into the top four slots on the point remain at 75%. Their best case is to win their last game against MI and RR and RCB and lose their game against CSK and GT. This will tie them third with 16 points with RR and ensure qualification. If they lose their last game against MI, they can still take a joint fourth place if GT beats RCB. They will then be tied for fourth place with the winner of the RCB and SRH-PBKS game.
4) RCB’s chances of getting into one of the top four slots are still at 75%. Their best position is to win their last game and hopefully RR and DC lose against CSK and MI respectively. This would put them tied for third place with RR at 16 points. Even if they lose their last game, they can still finish joint fourth with DC and the winner of the SRH-PBKS game.
5) RR points are guaranteed to be second or third in the table. His best case is to win against CSK. That would put them in second place with a combined 18 points with LSG. But even if they lose to CSK, they can qualify by occupying the only third place (if MI beats DC and GT RCB) or tie for third place with RCB or DC or both. If it is a three-way tie it will come down to the net run rate
6) LSG is guaranteed second place either (if CSK beats RR) or tied with RR (if RR beats CSK).
How we calculate these probabilities:
We saw all 16 current possible combinations of results with four matches remaining. We assumed that for any given match the chances of victory of both the parties are equal. We then saw how many combinations put each team in one of the top four slots by points. It gives us our probability number. To take a specific example, out of 16 possible result combinations, RCB ranks first to fourth in points in 12 combinations. That translates into 75% chance. We do not consider the net run rate or “no results” as it is impossible to predict in advance.
Come back for our updated forecast on Friday (May 20) morning, which will take into account the results of Thursday’s match.


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